Savings and CD rates track the Fed's policy moves fairly directly — a more transparent, faster transmission than the mortgage market shows.

The Transmission

Banks set savings account and CD yields largely in reference to the current fed funds rate, since that's their own cost of alternative short-term funding. When the Fed held rates at a 5.25%-5.50% peak through much of 2023-2024, savings and CD yields reached attractive multi-year highs — a direct consumer benefit of the tightening cycle. As the Fed has cut through 2024-2025 to today's 3.50%-3.75%, savings and CD yields have real-world declined correspondingly, though usually with some lag as banks gradually adjust posted rates.

One thing worth checking: Locking in a CD rate during a Fed rate-cutting cycle protects your yield for the CD's term even as the Fed continues cutting — a concrete reason to consider a longer-term CD once you believe the Fed has begun or is likely to continue a cutting cycle, rather than continually rolling over shorter terms at progressively lower rates.

Someone Watching Savings Yields Decline: Recognize the direct connection to the Fed's ongoing cutting cycle.

Someone Considering a CD During a Rate-Cutting Environment: A longer-term CD can lock in today's yield before further cuts reduce it further.

Track Savings Rate Impact the Way

  1. Expect savings and CD yields to track the Fed funds rate fairly directly.
  2. Consider locking in a longer CD term during a cutting cycle.
  3. Watch for the lag between a Fed move and your bank's posted rate change.

See what is compound interest for how these yields compound over a CD's term.